The Compounding Benefits of Ditching Fossil Fuels
Chandu Visweswariah, Thomas N. Theis, and Robert DeAngelis
In this article, you will read about a surprise compounding benefit of moving away from fossil fuels.
The “win, win, win” of ditching fossil fuels is evident to most people. First, electrifying your energy needs typically saves you money in the long-term. An electric vehicle is 3 to 4 times more efficient than an internal combustion counterpart as well as less expensive to maintain, and a heat pump is 2 to 5 times more efficient than a furnace (depending on the equipment and ambient temperature). Large-scale electricity generation is also moving away from fossil fuels. The least expensive way to produce a steady source of electricity is solar combined with battery storage, leading to a “hockey stick” explosion of solar farms across the globe. In some cases, electrification requires an up-front investment that is paid back well within the lifetime of the necessary equipment, be it an electric vehicle, induction stove, heat pump or electric school bus.
The second win is less obvious. Replacing fossil fuels with clean energy contributes to our health and the health of our local community. Burning fossil fuels produces fine particulate matter known as PM2.5 which settles in our lungs and can even infiltrate our bloodstreams. PM2.5 is particularly harmful to vulnerable people like children, seniors, pregnant women and those with underlying conditions. Heating your home with oil or cooking with gas leads to significantly higher indoor air pollution and higher rates of asthma, particularly in children, as well as other respiratory ailments. Children have negative cognitive impacts from riding in diesel buses. All these negative impacts are reduced or avoided as we move away from fossil fuels.
The third and ever-so-important win is for the planet, by means of reducing planet-warming greenhouse gases (GHGs). The table below shows the direct emissions, in pounds of carbon dioxide equivalent or CO2e, from combustion of various fossil fuels for the same amount of energy produced (for illustration, we choose 1 million BTUs, the energy in 8.3 gallons of gasoline). Higher emitting fuels are shown in red, medium emitters in orange and low emitters in green. By this measure, natural gas and propane live up to their reputation of being “clean-burning fuels” compared to the others, but all are copious sources of GHGs. This changes, much for the worse, when we consider upstream GHG emissions before the fuel gets to you, the end-customer.
|
Fuel |
Quantity |
Direct emissions from fuel you burn (lbs of CO2e) |
|
Finished motor gasoline (with 10% ethanol) |
8.3 gallons |
163.0 |
|
Diesel |
7.2 gallons |
161.8 |
|
Heating oil |
7.2 gallons |
163.3 |
|
Kerosene (aviation fuel) |
7.4 gallons |
156.3 |
|
Natural gas |
963.4 cubic feet |
115.2 |
|
Propane |
10.9 gallons |
135.9 |
|
Renewable diesel |
8.1 gallons |
53.5 |
|
Bio-diesel |
7.8 gallons |
45.8 |
The CURE100 Carbon Tracker is a simple and free application that helps you to understand your household’s carbon footprint and appeals to calculations like those in this table.
When you buy a gallon of gasoline at the pump, do you ever think about how it got there? The journey from an oil well to your gas tank is a tortuous one, with GHG emissions all along the way. It takes about 6% of energy produced, on average, to extract oil and about 25% to refine it, totaling roughly 30%. In other words, to produce ten gallons of gasoline, 3 additional gallons of fuel are burned to produce the necessary energy for extraction and refinement. What is more, transportation of gasoline to your local gas station uses an additional amount of fossil fuel, depending on how far the gasoline must be transported. Over 30% of ships on the open ocean are used to transport fossil fuels, and those ships are powered by fossil fuels.
The emissions incurred in producing fuel are called “embodied emissions” and 30% is a conservative estimate of such embodied emissions. So, reducing your fossil fuel consumption by one gallon saves carbon emissions equivalent to 1.3 gallons! Nice!
Now we come to the surprise benefit! Unburned methane gas leaks into the atmosphere during extraction and refinement of oil and natural gas. About half of this leakage is due to oil extraction (used to make gasoline, diesel, heating oil and aviation fuel) and the other half to natural gas extraction. Natural gas, which is primarily composed of methane, also leaks at compressor stations, transmission pipelines, distribution pipes and end-use facilities. As a fraction of all natural gas deliveries, about 1.4% of the gas leaks.
So why is this a big deal? Methane, a potent GHG, has a Global Warming Potential over a 20-year period (GWP20) of 85. This means that a ton of methane emitted today will do as much climate damage over the next 20 years as 85 tons of CO2! This is a shocking contribution to climate change as shown in the Figure. More than 40% of the ongoing rise in global temperature, and deleterious impacts thereof, are driven by methane, due to its heat-trapping potency and widespread leakage.
The good news is that we can make rapid climate progress by preventing methane leaks. To inform our decisions, we must include “embodied” carbon as well as methane leakage when we calculate the effective impact of not burning a gallon of gasoline or consuming a cubic foot of natural gas.
Taking into account all these upstream effects, a simple way to visualize your impact from avoiding fossil fuels is depicted below.
The table below shows the emissions from direct combustion and adds both embodied carbon (from extraction, refining and transporting) as well as upstream methane leakage to obtain the same amount of energy from various fuels.
|
Fuel |
Quantity |
Direct emissions (lbs of CO2e) |
GHG impact of embodied carbon |
GHG impact of methane |
Total GHG impact (lbs of CO2e) |
|
Finished motor gasoline (with 10% ethanol) |
8.3 gallons |
163.0 |
30% |
26% |
267.0 |
|
Diesel |
7.2 gallons |
161.8 |
30% |
27.3% |
284.1 |
|
Heating oil |
7.2 gallons |
163.3 |
30% |
27.3% |
270.2 |
|
Kerosene (aviation fuel) |
7.4 gallons |
156.3 |
30% |
26.65% |
257.3 |
|
Natural gas |
963.4 cubic feet |
115.2 |
30% |
115% |
322.0 |
|
Propane |
10.9 gallons |
135.9 |
30% |
115% |
379.8 |
|
Renewable diesel |
8.1 gallons |
53.5 |
30% |
0% |
69.5 |
|
Bio-diesel |
7.8 gallons |
45.8 |
30% |
0% |
59.6 |
The direct and total impacts of various fossil fuels are plotted below. For technical details, consult the “Methodology” page of the Carbon Tracker.
As you can see, in the final analysis, natural gas and propane are dirty fuels, worse than the others when all impacts are included (for reference, the direct emissions form burning the most common type of coal, bituminous coal, are shown without including any upstream emissions).
Because of these uplifts in GHG impacts, your savings from avoiding fossil fuels are therefore boosted. For example, when you switch to an electric vehicle, every gallon of gasoline you forgo at the pump cuts the GHGs generated by the equivalent of 1.6 gallons – this is like forgoing an additional 0.6 gallons at the pump! For natural gas, the impact (by switching to heat pumps, for example) is an even bigger boost. Not consuming a cubic foot of natural gas cuts GHGs as much as not burning 2.8 cubic feet of natural gas!
We are therefore pleased to announce that the CURE100 Carbon Tracker, as of release 305 on November 10, 2025, builds upstream embodied carbon as well as upstream methane emissions into all its carbon calculations, PM2.5 calculations as well as personalized recommendations, providing a realistic view of household carbon emissions and effective means of decarbonizing.
The Trump administration is reversing methane regulations. The Hochul administration just approved a major gas pipeline. It is time for us to take our destiny into our own hands and systematically move away from fossil fuels. Go ahead, buy that EV, knowing that every gallon of gas you avoid comes with a 60% bonus in reducing GHGs. And buy that heat pump knowing that every cubic foot of gas you avoid comes with a 180% GHG-avoidance bonus! By getting fossil fuels out of our lives, we save money, improve human health, and reduce heat-trapping greenhouse gases at an accelerated pace! Now is the time to seize this win, win, win!
This is an opinion and analysis article. The views expressed by the authors are solely their own and not those of any organization they are affiliated with or CURE100.